The Gary Cardillo Group

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Market Update

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For months we’ve been posting updates on the real estate market which up until recently has impacted the local and statewide markets by the higher than anticipated taxes, rising insurance premiums, interest rates and the election. While those factors alone led for a decline in sales and sales prices for most of the state, the devastating effects of the hurricanes over the past few months have had a unique impact of their own, especially to our local markets.

Typically this time of year we not only focus on the year to year sales comparisons, but the year to date recap as well, however, adding in the variable of multiple hurricanes are skewing the numbers resulting in fewer showings, inventory that was damaged or lost this year versus last, and listing prices decreasing. While we would typically see more inventory coming on the market this time of year in anticipation for the upcoming season and the arrival of our winter visitors, we are also seeing a significant number of inquiries by investors looking for opportunistic buys. Unlike Hurricane Charley where Money and Forbes magazines had just voted our area as one of the best places to retire that created an unique competition between investors and buyers vying for limited inventory, there is plenty of inventory for buyers and investors of all types. The silver lining for some is if their homes have not been impacted by the recent storms, those homes will be viewed more favorably and the potential is for shorter times on the market if priced competitively. For others who did not fare as well, keep in mind there is a 50/50 rule that will impact your recovery plans. When in doubt call a reputable contractor to give you an estimate, and who can also determine if any of your damage was wind related or just caused by rising water. Before making any decisions check with your accountant and financial advisor as they will help you decide if rebuilding is a viable option or selling the property “AS IS” is your wisest financial choice.

Market Update November 2024

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Not a day goes by when someone asks, “What’s going on with the real estate market?” I think everyone senses the market is off the pace of recent years when inventory was low, sellers could name their price, and concerns about rising taxes, interest rates and insurance premiums were not at the forefront of a buyer’s mind as they are today, and of course you can always factor in the upcoming election. Add the impact recent storms have had and the result is more inventory is coming on the market from those looking to relocate in addition to the uptick in listings we typically see this time of year when more sellers are looking to put their homes on the market in advance of the new season. From a buyer’s perspective, they are not only factoring in the projected costs related to taxes and insurance coverage, but the anticipated costs for remodeling that typically would be a cost a seller would not consider allowing for in the negotiation process. With more inventory coming on the market properties will stay on the market longer unless they are priced very competitively. For those whose streets and neighborhoods are showing the residual effects from these storms, they can either wait until their streets are in better condition with the hope they can list their homes closer to market averages, or they may need to price their homes more aggressively to overcome a buyer’s concern when seeing the potential storm affect that could impact them. However, with many areas recovering quickly and restaurants and businesses coming back on line, there is a community spirit that is contagious and could be a factor in making this a strong upcoming season

Q: What is happening in the real estate market and do you think it is going to crash?

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A: I don’t think there is anyone who wasn’t aware how hot the real estate market was since the beginning of Covid, and the frenzied buying characteristic of that time. I’ve often wondered, “Why do humans panic so much, and who started the fear and supplied the response to that fear?” I’m sure many a forest was cleared to produce the paper needed for the consumption of toilet paper that was purchased. And what about hand sanitizer? With hurricanes we see water flying off the shelves and gas being purchased in amounts that could sustain a small town, let alone a single family. This is what happened with the housing market. Someone “Started the fire” as singer Bill Joel wrote in his song, and before you know it the real estate market took off to heights seldom seen before. Now that we’ve all taken a breath and realized Florida isn’t closing its borders to people looking to relocate from the north to purchase a home, we are all settling back to the normal real estate trends. We typically see fewer buyers this time of year as people are just starting to return from their summer getaways, and children are engrossed in school activities. The start of the typical “hot seasonal market” starts in January and runs throughout the late spring and early summer. The slowdown you are currently seeing with fewer buyers in the market is a stark contrast to what we’ve seen with the panic buying the past couple of years, but the sky isn’t falling.

 

Yes, interest rates will play a role for some, but keep in mind those that purchased homes the past few years paid cash or borrowed around 50%. Those that purchased did so as a permanent move, and not so much as an investment. We don’t see short sales and defaults due to sub prime mortgage lending. In short we don’t see a market crash. In fact we see well priced properties continue to be in hot demand as this part of Florida offers a more affordable way of life than many other areas around the state or country.

 

What I am hearing is some people who are “hurricane weary” saying they are considering a move, as they don’t want to go through another storm and the cleanup aftermath. If you are one of them, before you do anything please give us a call. This is not a solicitation to list your home and to wish you much success on your move, but to help you decide if making a move is really going to give you the peace of mind and enjoyment you are seeking. People buy and sell real estate on emotion, and that emotional desire is different for everyone. There isn’t an area in the country that isn’t impacted by one form of catastrophic weather or another, but there is a reason you came to Florida. The two pieces of advice we would give anyone giving serious thought to a move would be 1. Research the area you are considering and determine if it really provides you all the things that meet your interests, and not just an emotional escape. 2. Know the value of your home. When Hurricane Charley impacted us there were countless stories of people coming in and preying on the emotions of those most severely impacted, especially the elderly. They agreed to accepting extremely low offers and in some cases even signed over their insurance benefits. Our goal is, and always has been, to give honest advice and insight to the market. If a move is a serious consideration, make sure it is for all the right reasons. Who knows, you may find in a short time your current home and community in which you live offers you the best quality of life you’ve been seeking.

February 2022 Real Estate Update

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Taking a quick peak at the real estate market, it is no secret the market remains very strong with buyers competing for limited inventory. Well priced properties continue to garner multiple offers however, there is a little bit of a change in the buyer’s thought process where they are now not making offers on properties well in excess of their perception of market value. In short, the days of paying whatever a seller wants I personally feel is winding down.
New construction has been an option for many willing to wait 18-24 months for a new home to be built however, builders are including escalation clauses in those contracts should there be a rise in material costs from when the contract was originally signed. Typically many builders will order materials after the permitting process which can take 3-4 months to approve. Once permitting has been approved, the builder will then order the materials. This is when the increase in price usually surfaces from the original estimate to build. Many builders will charge a fee or the buyer may lose their deposit should they cancel the purchase agreement at this time.
When it comes to new construction in many of the new communities being developed, the developer will release a small percentage of lots for bid. Sometimes there are upwards of over 100 people bidding for the lot which drives the lot up significantly. Then you have to go through the building process where there can be additional costs as material costs rise. All this being said, I am finding many people not wanting to go through the feeding frenzy created in this format and start reconsidering the purchase of an existing home knowing that it may not be ideal, and remodeling will have to be performed to get something closer to what they like.
The thing to keep in mind is you are coming to a beautiful state, and even a home that needs a little TLC will make you feel much better than sitting up north, cooped up for a significant period of time wishing the winter away.